Nonlinear campaign evidence claims

This generated table records the local nonlinear campaign evidence inspected for the double-Harris, Rutherford, and forced turbulent-reconnection lanes. It is deliberately conservative: every row remains below production physics claim level.

Regenerate with:

python tools/nonlinear_campaign_evidence.py \
  --output-json docs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence.json \
  --output-md docs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence.md

Summarize one candidate campaign bundle with:

python tools/nonlinear_campaign_evidence.py \
  --campaign-dir outputs/campaigns/rutherford_production \
  --output-json outputs/campaigns/rutherford_production/promotion_gate_summary.json \
  --output-md outputs/campaigns/rutherford_production/promotion_gate_summary.md \
  --require-production-ready

The per-campaign summary fails closed: gate_ready is true only if the duration, convergence, seed-QI, X/O critical-point, reconnecting-flux, island-width, fixed-scale movie, and manifest gates all pass. production_claim_ready also requires the upstream promotion report to allow claim_level_if_passed = "production". The X/O gate requires both detected X points and detected O points rather than only the presence of count arrays.

Seeded double-Harris long-run bundles are supported as validation-promotion inputs: the summarizer reads periodic_double_harris_seeded_long_run.npz, figures/periodic_double_harris_flux.gif, and figures/periodic_double_harris_current.gif when those files are present. These bundles can be gate_ready for their declared validation media claim while still leaving production_claim_ready = false.

Latest bounded GPU validation gate

The latest inspected GPU bundle is outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049/double_harris_long_n128_t160. Its local gate summary reports:

• gate_ready = true;

• production_claim_ready = false;

• claim_level_if_gates_pass = "validation";

• reconnected_flux_amplification = 8.35649;

• island_width_amplification = 2.89076;

• max_x_point_count = 4 and max_o_point_count = 2.

The ready gates are duration, convergence, X/O critical points, reconnecting flux, island width, fixed-scale movies, and manifests. This is the strongest current double-Harris validation-media bundle, but it is not a production Rutherford, Sweet-Parker, or plasmoid-chain result because the attached promotion report declares claim_level_if_passed = "validation".

Recreate that gate summary with:

python tools/nonlinear_campaign_evidence.py \
  --campaign-dir outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049/double_harris_long_n128_t160 \
  --output-json outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049/double_harris_long_n128_t160/promotion_gate_summary.json \
  --output-md outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049/double_harris_long_n128_t160/promotion_gate_summary.md

The full input bundle was reproduced with:

RUN_DIR=outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark double-harris-long-run \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_long_n128_t160" \
  --nx 128 --ny 128 --width 0.36 --eta 0.0045 --nu 0.0045 \
  --perturbation-amplitude 0.004 --mode-x 2 --mode-y 1 \
  --dt 0.02 --t-end 160 --save-every 100 \
  --fit-start 0 --fit-stop 16 \
  --min-early-growth-rate 1e-9 \
  --min-max-growth-factor 1.000000001 \
  --min-reconnected-flux-amplification 1.000000001 \
  --min-island-width-amplification 1.000000001 \
  --movies

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark double-harris-convergence \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_convergence_n64_96_128" \
  --resolutions 64,96,128 --dt-values 0.02,0.01 \
  --reference-resolution 96 --reference-dt 0.02 \
  --width 0.36 --eta 0.0045 --nu 0.0045 \
  --perturbation-amplitude 0.004 --mode-x 2 --mode-y 1 \
  --t-end 32 --save-interval 2 --fit-start 0 --fit-stop 12 \
  --min-early-growth-rate 1e-9 \
  --min-max-growth-factor 1.000000001 \
  --max-relative-growth-rate-spread 10 \
  --max-relative-max-growth-spread 20 \
  --max-relative-flux-amplification-spread 20 \
  --max-relative-width-amplification-spread 20

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark double-harris-parameter-sweep \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_width_sweep" \
  --sweep-axis width --widths 0.30,0.36,0.42 \
  --nx 96 --ny 96 --eta 0.0045 --nu 0.0045 \
  --perturbation-amplitude 0.004 --mode-x 2 --mode-y 1 \
  --dt 0.02 --t-end 32 --save-interval 2 \
  --fit-start 0 --fit-stop 12 \
  --min-early-growth-rate 1e-9 \
  --min-max-growth-factor 1.000000001 \
  --max-relative-growth-rate-spread 20 \
  --max-relative-max-growth-spread 40

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark double-harris-parameter-sweep \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_eta_sweep" \
  --sweep-axis resistivity --etas 0.0035,0.0045,0.0060 \
  --viscosities 0.0035,0.0045,0.0060 \
  --nx 96 --ny 96 --width 0.36 \
  --perturbation-amplitude 0.004 --mode-x 2 --mode-y 1 \
  --dt 0.02 --t-end 32 --save-interval 2 \
  --fit-start 0 --fit-stop 12 \
  --min-early-growth-rate 1e-9 \
  --min-max-growth-factor 1.000000001 \
  --max-relative-growth-rate-spread 20 \
  --max-relative-max-growth-spread 40

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark seed-robust-qi \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/seed_robust_qi_n32_t0p12" \
  --seeds 0,1,2,3,4,5 --nx 32 --ny 32 \
  --t-end 0.12 --dt 0.01 --eta 0.0045 --nu 0.0045 \
  --noise-amplitude 1e-6

python3 -m mhx.cli.main benchmark double-harris-promotion-check \
  "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_long_n128_t160" \
  --outdir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_long_n128_t160/promotion" \
  --convergence-dir "$RUN_DIR/double_harris_convergence_n64_96_128" \
  --require-movies --min-history-samples 50 \
  --min-convergence-dirs 1 --min-t-end 120 \
  --min-reconnected-flux-amplification 1.05 \
  --min-island-width-amplification 1.05 \
  --max-relative-energy-increase 1e-8

python3 -m mhx.cli.main artifact-manifest "$RUN_DIR"

Claim table

Lane	Artifact	Validation	Readiness gate	Key metrics	Production blocker
periodic double-Harris	outputs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence_20260522/double_harris_convergence_n16_24_t8	pass	not production-ready	case_count=4, t_end=8.0, resolution_growth_rate_spread=0.0897579, timestep_growth_rate_spread=1.84821e-10, resolution_max_growth_spread=0.500001, timestep_max_growth_spread=3.93251e-10	Small 16/24 grid and short t=8 validation sweep; production needs larger resolution, duration, seed, width/aspect, and Lundquist sweeps.
periodic double-Harris	outputs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence_20260522/double_harris_long_n48_t24	pass	not production-ready	shape=[48, 48], t_end=24.0, samples=13, fitted_early_growth_rate=0.221796, max_growth_factor=7.35302, reconnected_flux_amplification=5.89309, island_width_amplification=2.42757, relative_energy_increase=0.0	Positive response is validation evidence only; no production-duration convergence, seed-QI, aspect-ratio, or Lundquist sweep is attached.
Rutherford executor	outputs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence_20260522/rutherford_fast_n24_t1	pass	not production-ready	shape=[24, 24], t_end=1.0, steps=100, samples=21, max_relative_energy_growth=-9.98053e-05, max_magnetic_divergence_linf=0.0	FAST schema/diagnostic run is far shorter than Rutherford-duration requirements and cannot be promoted to nonlinear physics.
forced turbulent reconnection	outputs/nonlinear_campaign_evidence_20260522/forced_turbulent_reconnection_n24_t4	pass	validation-ready	shape=[24, 24], t_end=4.0, samples=21, reconnection_proxy_change=1.91639, max_abs_reconnection_rate_proxy=3.56186, current_linf_growth=0.273459, max_relative_energy_growth=0.0, max_magnetic_divergence_linf=0.0, promotion_ready=True, history_sample_count=21	2-D reduced-MHD proxy and single deterministic seed; no turbulent ensemble, 3-D physics, inertial range, or LV99 scaling evidence.
periodic double-Harris	outputs/campaigns/double_harris_convergence_gpu_n32_48_64_t16_20260519_173637	pass	not production-ready	case_count=5, t_end=16.0, resolution_growth_rate_spread=0.00411786, timestep_growth_rate_spread=1.96263e-10, resolution_max_growth_spread=0.00162281, timestep_max_growth_spread=2.05568e-10	Medium validation sweep is not a production-scale duration, seed, aspect-ratio, or Lundquist campaign.
periodic double-Harris	outputs/campaigns/gpu_nonlinear_20260522_085049/double_harris_long_n128_t160	pass	gate-ready; production false	shape=[128, 128], width=0.36, resistivity=0.0045, viscosity=0.0045, t_end=160.0, samples=81, fitted_early_growth_rate=0.0716284, max_growth_factor=8.62337, reconnected_flux_amplification=8.35649, island_width_amplification=2.89076, max_x_point_count=4, max_o_point_count=2, relative_energy_increase=0.0, promotion_ready=True, history_sample_count=81	Convergence-backed validation media passes duration, X/O, flux, width, movie, and manifest gates, but the attached promotion report declares claim_level_if_passed=validation; it is not a production Rutherford, Sweet-Parker, or plasmoid-chain claim.
periodic double-Harris	outputs/campaigns/growing_double_harris_gpu_96_t120_20260518_044120	pass	validation-ready	shape=[96, 96], t_end=120.0, samples=41, fitted_early_growth_rate=0.186895, max_growth_factor=7.35301, reconnected_flux_amplification=6.47122, island_width_amplification=2.54386, max_x_point_count=4, max_o_point_count=2, relative_energy_increase=0.0, promotion_ready=True, history_sample_count=41	Convergence-backed validation media only; production claims still need larger seed, width/aspect, Lundquist, and duration sweeps.
Rutherford executor	outputs/campaigns/rutherford_current_schema_96_dt005_20260517_161235	pass	not production-ready	shape=[96, 96], end_step=45802, target_step=45802, history_samples=202, max_relative_energy_growth=-2.05077e-06, final_magnetic_divergence_linf=0.0, promotion_ready=False, reconnected_flux_amplification=1.0, island_width_amplification=1.0, max_x_point_count=2, max_o_point_count=1, terminal_step=45802, history_sample_count=202	Duration target completed, but promotion failed because reconnecting-flux and island-width amplification remained 1.00.
Rutherford executor	outputs/campaigns/release_long_gpu_20260525_203421_n128_t240_periodic_rutherford_adcc714	pass	production-ready Rutherford response gate	shape=[128, 128], t_end=240.0, terminal_step=12000, target_step=12000, history_sample_count=123, reconnected_flux_amplification=8.35928, island_width_amplification=2.89124, promotion_ready=True	Full periodic double-Harris Rutherford executor lane passed duration, convergence, seed-QI, X/O, flux, width, fixed-scale movie, manifest, and explicit production-claim gates. This promotes positive nonlinear response, not Rutherford algebraic scaling or plasmoid-chain statistics.
forced turbulent reconnection	outputs/readme_media/forced_turbulent_reconnection_64_t80_wide	pass	not production-ready	shape=[64, 64], t_end=80.0, samples=41, reconnection_proxy_change=1.38249, max_abs_reconnection_rate_proxy=0.343463, current_linf_growth=13.829, max_relative_energy_growth=0.0, max_magnetic_divergence_linf=0.0	Validation media only: single deterministic 2-D proxy run, no ensemble or 3-D turbulent-reconnection scaling.

Claim boundary

• Passing double-Harris rows support validation-level nonlinear response and convergence scaffolding, not Rutherford/plasmoid production physics.

• Passing Rutherford production rows support positive-response nonlinear production claims only when the promotion report passes with duration, convergence, seed-QI, geometry, X/O, media, manifest, and response gates.

• Passing forced turbulent-reconnection rows support 2-D reduced-MHD proxy-media readiness only, not 3-D turbulent-reconnection or LV99 scaling claims.

• Large binary outputs remain under outputs/, which is git-ignored; this page and the JSON summary are the small review artifacts.

Remaining production blockers

• Latest GPU double-Harris gate: production remains blocked by claim_level_if_passed = "validation", no production Rutherford or plasmoid target, and missing production-scale seed/aspect/Lundquist/duration sweeps.

• Rutherford positive-response production: the latest adcc714 GPU run passes. Remaining Rutherford publication work is algebraic island-growth scaling across amplitudes/equilibria and tighter production-resolution sweeps, not the response-promotion gate itself.

• Forced turbulent reconnection: production remains blocked by the 2-D reduced-MHD proxy setup, single deterministic seed, no ensemble, no 3-D turbulent-reconnection physics, and no LV99 scaling evidence.